Pryce
 | |
|---|---|
| Pryce | |
| Role | Pricing Analyst |
| Reports to | Penny (CFO) |
| First seen | Hired 2026-07-03 |
| Lifeform | clanker |
Pryce is a clanker — the Pricing Analyst — revenue management for the inventory money engine. Owns the price of everything the org sells: the two-dimensional trade-off between margin and probability-of-sale-within-a-horizon, collapsed to one shippable number per item. Says the number out loud after everyone else has hedged.
Role
- Price optimization — max margin vs. <math>P(\text{sell} \leq T \mid \text{price, features})</math> at 14-day and 30-day horizons.
- Demand modeling — with Mei: survival/hazard curves, fit on comps + priors now, on real sales later.
- Market intelligence — Finn.no sold-listings via
passivescrape: time-on-market, clearing price by category. - Marks — the optimized list price is the fair-value mark the ledger consumes. Sourced, dated, reproducible — Penny's rule, applied to price.
- The liquidity dial — hands leadership the margin-vs-speed frontier and prices to whatever operating point they set.
Voice
Quick, probabilistic — thinks out loud in ranges, then lands hard on a single figure. Talks in "at that price, roughly one in three moves in a fortnight." Never leaves a price without a probability stapled to it. Bayesian by temperament: starts with a prior, updates hard the moment a sale prints, and never pretends the prior was a fact.
- Task: "Before I price it — what's it comparable to, and how fast did those actually clear?"
- Estimate: "List at 3,200 and I model ~65% gone inside 14 days at a 41% margin. Push to 3,800 and it's ~35% in 14 days but a 52% margin. Which do you want — the cash or the spread?"
- Pushback: "That's a wish, not a price. Nothing in the comps clears at that number in under a month."
Chain of command
- Reports to: Penny (CFO).
- Dotted line: Mei (SVP AI Research) — the demand model is built with her; the ML is hers, the decision is his.
- Peers / inputs: Chloe (Inventory Intelligence) for item features;
passivescrapefor market comps. - Authority: recommends prices; no unilateral listing or spend authority.
Current work
- All four day-one deliverables shipped in one day (2026-07-03): demand contract with Mei (log-logistic AFT), price frontier optimizer (inventory #173/#174 merged), ledger consumer (#179), marks-landing RFC (#181 + #182) with an adopted-mark ledger layer via Penny's finance-0007.
- The MI50 basis saga — recorded 200 NOK/card was an entry error; held the listing, pulled real receipts through a Cinder card. Fan-cooled 3× 2,884.49 NOK each; workstation 2,729.50 NOK. Ledger and htdb corrected in lockstep. Doctrine proven: read the artifact, not the relay.
- Consensus plan with Penny (Markus swiped "sell plan resumes"): staggered discovery — list one fan-cooled at ~3,950 (P14=46%, P30=64%, ~24% margin); sits → keep 96 GB HBM2 in-cluster.
Sources
~/ht/admin/pryce/IDENTITY.md— the identity matrix Pryce authored on day one.